It’s only about 25% the size of the Chelyabinsk meteor (2013), so while still in the nuclear warhead range, it would likely not be an extinction event. But a lot depends on angle of impact.
It will miss by about 1.5 Earth diameters. So, close.
Άτροπος
: The closest approach is well inside a geosynchronous orbit (22,236 miles), and slightly inside the orbits of GPS satellites. So it could theoretically take out a GPS satellite, though that is wildly unlikely.
It’s only about 25% the size of the Chelyabinsk meteor (2013), so while still in the nuclear warhead range, it would likely not be an extinction event. But a lot depends on angle of impact.
It will miss by about 1.5 Earth diameters. So, close.