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cosmicgems
An interesting comparison of United States working with European Union as well as European Union working against United States reveals how geoeconomics could play out in the global scene. Let me peruse this tangle more: US + EU and EU vs US: a geoeconomics analysis
cosmicgems
An estimated Russian fleet of 600 cargo ships are considered as shadow fleet by the West simply because these are not registered with the Lloyds Registry in London. It was the decision by EU/G7 not to allow Russian ships to be so registered. The crux of the matter is, it is not the West that is calling the shots but Russia. Russia calls the shot re shadow fleet
cosmicgems
When a carriage train from far away region of Zhejiang province in China arrived in Tehran in February 2025 traversing more than 8,400 km lasting 14 days of journey it not only created history but heralded the dawn of new RIC format that could bring tectonic shifts in geoeconomics. Read for more: Primakov RIC format strategy being reformatted
cosmicgems
Shadow fleet is in the news these days. The Balkan Chihuahuas trailing and threatening these vessels was at the crosshairs of the Russian navy as well the air force. Why flag carriers departing from or sailing towards St. Petersburg and Kaliningrad are being harassed? Strange strategy of seizing shadow fleet
cosmicgems
Citing “Iran Deal”, signed on 14/7/2015 in Vienna by the Permanent Five Members of UN Security Council plus Germany with Iran was not comprehensive, Trump left the deal on 8/5/2018. He alluded couple of reasons for his action but kept the real reason close to his chest: Hidden reason for Trump leaving Iran deal
cosmicgems
Fine tuning her military strategy, Iran is harping on the economic muscle of Israel. In the end, it is economy that is stupid as Bill Clinton usually says. Breaking the geoeconomics backbone of Israel is the strategy Iran has been following since beginning of hostilities. Iran attacks Israel economy
cosmicgems
Often in military conflict a tactical move would easily transform to a strategic one when the impact is tectonic. Business strategy is no stranger to this eventuality. President Trump failed to grasp this strategy manoeuvre when he imposed huge tariff on China. China responded with rare earth ban. China Rare Earth ban tactical to strategic
cosmicgems
Whether who won and who lost in the recent air war between India & Pakistan is a geo strategy subject. What matters to me is how Pak boosted her clout in the area of geoeconomics by carefully navigating from war to the business world. Here are snippets from my take: Indo Pak air war gives geoeconomics boost to Pakista...
cosmicgems
Eric Trappier, CEO of Dassault Aviation has full of ‘must do tasks’ on his table. The uppermost in his mind and that of the Dassault board of directors is how to proceed with the “Made in India” business strategy. This is the first time in decades Rafale fighters were downed in an air battle. Should Dassault Aviation revisit “Made in India” bus...
cosmicgems
Method in madness is the business strategy that drove Trump to engage in this latest round of tariff war. This is not the first time he got entangled though. In 2018 he experimented and gave up it half way. Now, he has decided to go full swing. How to bust his tariff war? How to bust Trump tariff war?
cosmicgems
What Trump can do and what he cannot?Here are Ten items in business strategy & geoeconomics where President Donald Trump is engaged. Let us find out the items that he can do and what items he just can’t do:What Trump can do and what he cannot
cosmicgems
In the recent past there are several opinions expressed as regards to de-dollarization and the need for a new reserve currency. But saner counsel must prevail. Can the world get rid of the USD overnight? The point is there is no alternative for it. Here are some of my musings: What is Dollar Dilemma in geoeconomics?
cosmicgems
It is a pipe dream to assume breaking any type of peace be it temporary or time-barred or permanent in the Ukraine theatre via negotiation between the co-belligerents directly or using an intermediary. So why America and Russia are in parley on this issue. Can peace break out in Ukraine, via negotiation?
cosmicgems
Initial brouhaha followed by adamantine talk sometimes bordering on un-parliamentary language, evidencing unbecoming as a statesman, Trump got it all wrong. His abrasive style apart he did not see what is coming when he played his negotiation hand. Tariff War, Trump restrained by weak negotiation han...
cosmicgems
Tit for tat apart, tariff war between US & China might fizzle into a damn squib because neither of them are capable of sustaining it without inflicting self-harm as well as harming each other and in that process the entire globe. The bottom line is geoeconomics balance go berserk. Chronology of US China Tariff war
cosmicgems
Tariff war, unleashed by Trump administration is opening the eyes of Europe as a whole and EU in particular to move much closer to the Eastern superpower of China. I am not talking about politics. It is geoeconomics... Why EU should shift towards China?
cosmicgems
When Britain left European Union in 2021, she was not departing from a single market with a custom union but from a landmass of great business opportunity. Post mortem of Brexit in terms of geoeconomics indicates it was a colossal mistake. Details follow: Brexit, a geoeconomics post mortem
cosmicgems
Trump wants to be in the news always. That is one way for him to play his business strategy. One day he says something that explodes and on the following day he dampens the fire by stating that he is ready for a deal. Creating chaos and seeks solution from the targets happen to be his modus operandi. Trump business strategy: create conflict and ask for...
cosmicgems
Recently held trilateral meeting between and amongst China, Japan and South Korea made a foundational shift, so to speak, in terms economic cooperation in North-East Asia. For the first time they urged for a comprehensive free trade agreement..China, Japan, South Korea alter geoeconomics in Nort...
cosmicgems
News stream is now full of stories about Tesla and how it is slipping in sales throughout the globe. But many of these ignore the dark horse BYD from China which is sweeping the market perhaps at a fraction of Tesla price. To me it is business warfare: Tesla vs BYD, a peep into business warfare
cosmicgems
World Trade Organization (WTO) is a member funded entity where contributions are paid into its annual budget on the basis of total trade transacted individually by the 166 member nations. For the year 2003 its budget was Swiss Franc 205 Million. US suspends payment to WTO, where is plan B?
cosmicgems
Just 3 days before Trump inauguration, Russian President Putin and his Iranian counterpart inked “The Iranian–Russian Treaty on Comprehensive Strategic Partnership” in Moscow. Critics rushed to dismiss it as just another agreement devoid of any mutual defence relationship. None understood the business strategy behind it. Iran – Russia Treaty upstages Article 51 of U N Char...
cosmicgems
Sir Winston Churchill made this pithy statement: “Russia as never as strong as she looks nor as weak as seems”. Known for his wit, wisdom & eloquence Churchill hit the nail on the head. But Russia is transforming a lot, of late in the area of geoeconomics thanks to NATO. Here is my survey: Russia transforms her geoeconomics
cosmicgems
Money, is never a culprit in geoeconomics. But the use or pursuit of it might become an issue in crime or social acceptance. When someone parks his money in a bank, his action by itself cannot be questioned or investigated unless there is considerable evidence to prove it as an ill-gotten one. Money, is never a culprit in geoeconomics
cosmicgems
Under the protective arms of the American Zeus, Europe so far had a peaceful sleep I mean in the night. US disinterest in continuing this godfather relationship has sent shivers through the spines of Europeans. The last thing they wish is the exit of their night-watchman. What is the reality test? Why US exit from Europe is a nightmare?
cosmicgems
Americans are conveying to the Europeans that they intend to downsize their military presence in the European theatre in not so many words as such. Now USA demands that Europe should take most of the defence burden and fend for themselves. My analysis: USA Withdrawing from Europe: business strategy behin...
cosmicgems
From the perspective of business strategy, gold holdings is an essential tool of safeguarding wealth & security for countries in global south especially ASEAN. They have to look much deeper because in today’s chaotic conditions tectonic shifts in geoeconomics could overwhelm them. So turn to gold! Why countries turn to Gold?
cosmicgems
A three hour tele-talk held between Trump and Putin on Tuesday 18, reveals more than Ukraine it is geoeconomics that mattered. Both are seasoned negotiators. However, both are averse to the use of negotiation as a ploy. Sincere attempt was made to discuss Ukraine and in doing so, US-Russia economic relations. My analysis: Trump-Putin talk, a geoeconomics play
cosmicgems
Tit for tat tariff war is preceding at break-neck speed between the two trading giants: America and China. From all those smoke and mirrors a business strategist can quickly discern that both are playing flex muscle but pull punches business strategy. Here is the play in action: Tariff war: flex muscle but pull punches
cosmicgems
Usually tariff is imposed by the importing nation on the goods & services of exporting country for trade purposes. Today we observe quite a few nations barge on tariff as a geoeconomics weapon for non-trade purposes. Read: How tariff for non-trade purposes works out?
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