Tanarian
I finally got to looking at the satellite photos and front predictions, and it's kind of annoying news.
Tanarian
Isaias looks to be squeezing between a fading high over the Gulf of Mexico, and a general high sitting over the mid-Atlantic. There's also a lot of available water vapor to feed him if he skates up the coast, but the mid-Atlantic high seems to be keeping him from taking that advantage.
Tanarian
Fronts over the American southeastern states are mostly stalled, not providing any great deterrent or steering right away, although a low over Georgia-ish might draw him to dump rain over that way as the system degrades.
Tanarian
Current path seems to be drifting over the west coast of Florida instead of straight up the peninsula, which might keep Orlando from panicking again.
Tanarian
He seems to be planning to be visiting Tampa in about 96 hours, although what I can see suggests he's not going to get a chance to strengthen much.
Tanarian
Currently Isaias is making a mess of Puerto Rico, and is expected to dump a whole lotta rain all over the Carib islands for the next day or three. Currently the NHC is waiting for him to finish crossing Hispañola before making better forecasts for Florida impact.
Qwis
My husband is watching Puerto Rico. Apparently they need to haul some equipment out to the parking lot to get damaged since it's no longer supported but management keeps slapping bandaids on it.
Tanarian
That's... kind of brilliant. Are they near a hillside?
Qwis
Not sure
GarlicMyfi
Eight hours later ... looks like Isaias might be sliding to the east a little more. The models are still ALL over the place, but he "cone of consensus" has it from away from SW Florida. I may get to fly home on Sunday after all.
Tanarian
Yeah, the fronts dancing around over the Appalachians/Atlantic coast have shifted from when I was looking at them earlier - there's something of a trough that'll let Isaias slide down into it, and along the coast. The Gulf high is persisting just long enough to encourage this movement. There's also enough water vapor along that whole stretch that might...
Tanarian
...allow him to strengthen, but he may still stay off land and just skim along, following the low pressure. Rain for everybody!
Tanarian
Forecast Discussion: There is a risk of impacts from winds, heavy rainfall, and storm surge late this weekend from the northeastern Florida coast and spreading northward along the remainder of the U.S. east coast through early next week....
Tanarian
...The details of the track and intensity forecast remain uncertain, and it is too soon to determine the magnitude and location of these potential impacts, but interests along the entire U.S. east coast should monitor the progress of Isaias and updates to the forecast.
GarlicMyfi
Looking good for my flight out on Sunday afternoon from Punta Gorda, though.
Tanarian
Unless he strengthens abruptly - but I don't see how he can do that until he's around the Carolinas.
Squeak =^..^=
How's my day at Universal on Sunday, Tanarian ?
Tanarian
Soggy.
Tanarian
He's predicted to be moving at a pretty good clip, so it's going to be eccentric raining all day, I think.
Squeak =^..^=
...and how windy?
Tanarian
He's a 1, so not horribly.
Tanarian
I'm not sure what your equipment safety threshold is, though.
Squeak =^..^=
Roller coaster stoppingly windy?
25 mph
Squeak =^..^=
That's gusts, btw.
Tanarian
Yeah, probably shut that and any ferris wheels down.
Tanarian
What's the train's parameters?
Squeak =^..^=
Could be a day off. :-)
Tanarian
Might be! Better they play it safe than lawsuity.
Squeak =^..^=
I was thinking crappy weather equals fewer peoples through the gates. We are already critical. May be less expensive to save on power and not have just a few brave idiots souls coming through the turnstiles.
Tanarian
There's always the Hurricane Party Mentality crowd.
Tanarian
I think you should be well clear on Monday, though.
Tanarian
Looks like Dade/Broward/Monroe are just now getting the very outmost "throw" from Isaias - not even a proper band yet, just associated cloud-cover.
Tanarian
Looks like he's just pulling past Broward-ish now....
GarlicMyfi
We got a little breeze and about five minutes of rain.
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