Isaias looks to be squeezing between a fading high over the Gulf of Mexico, and a general high sitting over the mid-Atlantic. There's also a lot of available water vapor to feed him if he skates up the coast, but the mid-Atlantic high seems to be keeping him from taking that advantage.
Fronts over the American southeastern states are mostly stalled, not providing any great deterrent or steering right away, although a low over Georgia-ish might draw him to dump rain over that way as the system degrades.
Currently Isaias is making a mess of Puerto Rico, and is expected to dump a whole lotta rain all over the Carib islands for the next day or three. Currently the NHC is waiting for him to finish crossing Hispañola before making better forecasts for Florida impact.
My husband is watching Puerto Rico. Apparently they need to haul some equipment out to the parking lot to get damaged since it's no longer supported but management keeps slapping bandaids on it.
Eight hours later ... looks like Isaias might be sliding to the east a little more. The models are still ALL over the place, but he "cone of consensus" has it from away from SW Florida. I may get to fly home on Sunday after all.
Yeah, the fronts dancing around over the Appalachians/Atlantic coast have shifted from when I was looking at them earlier - there's something of a trough that'll let Isaias slide down into it, and along the coast. The Gulf high is persisting just long enough to encourage this movement. There's also enough water vapor along that whole stretch that might...
Forecast Discussion: There is a risk of impacts from winds, heavy rainfall, and storm surge late this weekend from the northeastern Florida coast and spreading northward along the remainder of the U.S. east coast through early next week....
...The details of the track and intensity forecast remain uncertain, and it is too soon to determine the magnitude and location of these potential impacts, but interests along the entire U.S. east coast should monitor the progress of Isaias and updates to the forecast.
I was thinking crappy weather equals fewer peoples through the gates. We are already critical. May be less expensive to save on power and not have just a few brave idiots souls coming through the turnstiles.
25 mph
idiotssouls coming through the turnstiles.