Harry Lockhart
8.2%啦
Harry Lockhart
Harry Lockhart
VICTORY!! VICTORY!!
Harry Lockhart
https://images.plurk.com/3VTisEraRNzOiiZYfD6R0U.jpg
好爽喔喔喔喔喔喔喔喔
Harry Lockhart
韓國魚吃屎啦
Harry Lockhart
=蛍丸、推参!=
Harry Lockhart
Tsai: Han: Ke = 35.67: 24.51: 22.70 (n/a 18%)
Lai: Han: Ke = 27.48: 23.47: 27.38 (n/a 22%)
 
Implication:
1. Tsai wins a lot. It will help rebuild the cohesion and set a better agenda for the upcoming concurrent elections.
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2. Lai makes Tsai to be perceived as much more moderate (especially on the issue of independence and former President Chen's case). So Tsai's winning will lower Ke's chance of running.
3. Even though some pan-blue groups mobilize its supporters to support Lai, such effort did not appear in the poll results (considering the number of Han and N/A)
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4. Once again, DPP+KMT<50%, the new phenomenon since 2016. 18% n/a is the key to win 2020.
5. Tsai and Primer Su's new strategies successfully regained the energy of its core supporters, and make them be willing to spread their campaign and policy outcomes to their network, which is crucial for Tsai's winning.
Harry Lockhart
蔡: 韓 :, 35.67: 22.70 (n / a 18) %)
Lai: Han: Ke = 27.48: 23.47: 27.38 (n/a 22%)
暗示:
1. 蔡贏得很多. 這將有助於重建凝聚力, 並為即將舉行的選舉制定一個更好的策略.
2. 賴讓蔡被認為更溫和(尤其是在獨立問題上, 前總統陳的案件). 所以蔡的勝利會降低柯的參選機會
3. 雖然一些泛藍色團體動員支援者支援賴, 但這種努力沒有出現在民意調查結果中(考慮到韓和n / a)
4. 再次, dpp+kmt< 50 %, 自2016. 年以來的新現象, 18 %和/ a是贏得2020. 年的關鍵.
5. 蔡和蘇的新戰略成功地重新獲得了核心支援者的能量, 讓他們願意把他們的競選和政策成果傳播到他們的網路, 這對蔡的勝利至關重要
Harry Lockhart
4待更新
Harry Lockhart
公視台語台
台語台小編欠折XDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD
Harry Lockhart
左右圖級距還不一樣XDDDDDDDD
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4補充
I do not think all Tsai/Lai/Han supporters are either DPP or KMT. But I should clarify that. Thanks
就是不是傳統的藍綠歸隊的意思
Harry Lockhart
公視台語台
啊,開錯圖檔了 應該是這個啦
https://images.plurk.com/3Mu2b4RateqvTp1cEhN2xx.png
Harry Lockhart
Harry Lockhart
看這張表蔡、韓、柯三人競爭的年齡支持分布,真的不能全怪老人家喔,20-39 歲支持柯文哲的意外多。

大家知道該去影響誰了,加油。
Harry Lockhart
菜市場政治學

完整版
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Harry Lockhart
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